Lianchuang Optoelectronics: The smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports. Lianchuang Optoelectronics said on the interactive platform on December 9 that in the face of "low-slow and small" flying objects represented by drones, there is a lot of room in the domestic low-altitude security equipment market. The company's smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products are combined with the developed "low-altitude defense system command and control platform application software" and have the ability to install and deploy countermeasures equipment groups. To build a low-altitude defense system for users, we have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports, but it is still in the early stage of negotiations, and there is still some uncertainty about whether we can expand the domestic airport security market as expected.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.IShares China large-cap ETF rose 8%, Kraneshares Shanghai-Shenzhen-China Internet ETF rose 10.3%.
Interpretation of Guangfa Strategy December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this may well mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. Specific to economic work, the first priority is to "expand domestic demand", and the expression of "stabilize the property market and stock market" is more straightforward: the importance of expanding domestic demand is unquestionable, which alleviates the concern of "whether to only resolve risks and lack demand stimulation" in the early stage of the market; In September, the Politburo meeting stated that the stock market should strive to boost the capital market and the property market should "promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". This meeting was more direct in its determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market.South Korean prosecutors arrested former defense minister Jin Longxian on charges of "sedition and abuse of power".Wenfeng shares: There is no plan to discuss cooperation and reform with Fat Donglai at present. wenfeng shares said on the interactive platform on December 9 that the company has no plan to discuss cooperation and reform with Fat Donglai at present.
The operating rate of Russian refineries increased because the ban was lifted and gasoline exports resumed.The main force of Brent crude oil futures rose 2.00% in the day to 72.45 US dollars/barrel.The Houthi armed forces in Yemen claimed to carry out military operations in Ashdod, Israel and hit the target. On December 9, local time, the Houthi armed forces in Yemen issued a statement saying that they successfully launched a military operation in Ashdod, Israel, and successfully hit the target.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13